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Plastic shell industry in urgent need to control the capacity expansion rate


With the adjustment of the domestic industrial structure, the plastic shell supply pattern change, PE in the five general-purpose plastic production capacity from the second in 2011 down to the third in 2015, and PVC gradually to production capacity, in the five general-purpose plastic Shell production capacity in the proportion of a substantial decline.
2011 PVC production capacity in the five general plastics accounted for 45%, followed by PE production accounted for 22%, PP production capacity slightly less than PE, ABS and PS production capacity accounted for 6% and 5% respectively. The growth rate of PVC production capacity slowed down, and PP production capacity to expand faster, PVC production capacity accounted for 36%, PP production capacity accounted for 28% increase in the proportion of PE production capacity increased to 24% ABS and PS capacity expansion rate is relatively slow, ABS and PS production capacity accounted for 6%. Comprehensive domestic production and import volume, calculate the five general plastics self-sufficiency rate. As a whole, domestic production capacity continued to expand, from 2011 to 2015, the five general-purpose plastic shell self-sufficiency rate has increased, PVC self-sufficiency rate increased by 8% to 99%, PP self-sufficiency rate rose 11% to 78%, ABS Self-sufficiency rate increased by 10% to 62%, PS self-sufficiency rate increased by 7% to 73%, PE self-sufficiency rate increased by 1% to 58%. PVC and PP self-sufficiency rate is higher, mainly due to PVC and PP production capacity. PE self-sufficiency rate is less than PVC and PP, mainly the domestic supply structure of the restrictions on some of the more dependent on imported products, mainly divided into price dependence and product type dependence, the price dependence is mainly low-end products in the Middle East price advantage products, Mainly South Korea, Japan and other high-quality quality, the existence of domestic supply gap products. ABS, PS domestic consumption is limited, with the expansion of domestic production capacity, self-sufficiency rate gradually increased.
From the five general-purpose plastic marketing model, PE and PP direct sales rate is relatively high, are more than 40%, while ABS and PVC's direct selling rate is relatively low, self-sufficiency rate of not more than 30%, mainly plastic products Customer groups, financial capacity and customer distribution center there are differences.
2016 Central Economic Work Conference proposed to the production capacity, to inventory the task, PVC production capacity trend is more obvious, and PP production capacity expansion plan is still more, if not timely control PP production capacity of the expansion rate, PVC is now PP tomorrow. Relative to the PP, PE capacity expansion rate is relatively low, PE and PP spreads larger, the East region of the spread in 1800 yuan / ton. From the five major general plastic price level point of view, the price and capacity inversely proportional to the relatively small production capacity of ABS, capacity expansion rate is relatively slow, ABS price is higher than 10,000 yuan / ton; and PVC production capacity, the domestic supply side Pressure, PVC prices less than 6,000 yuan / ton.
China's economic growth into the shift period, the slowdown in the domestic demand for commodities affected, the domestic supply of goods should be synchronized to adjust the growth. Only to control the rate of production capacity expansion, the price of the product can be relatively strong, or only in the excess of the mud deeper and deeper, the market is difficult to show better performance. Plastic industry's urgent task is to control the capacity expansion rate, adjust the industrial structure, according to the terminal needs, on-demand production, improve the technological content of products, increase the added value of the product.
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